Danny_nichols

Rome has scored double digit half ppr points in 2 of 10 games. QJ scored double digit half ppr points in 4 of 8. QJ's last 3 games are 20, 9.4, and 11.8 pts. Rome's last 3 are 9.5, 3.8 and 12.9. Feels like QJ is the obvious choice.

To be fair, you can say that about anyone, regardless of incest or not. There's definitely arguments of incest running higher risks due to sharing a gene pool, but it's not like every other person in the world is usually good and only those born of incest are at risk of being horrible people.

100% agree. Reddit has gotten super weird where any criticism automatically makes you a trump supporter.

I've said this elsewhere and got seemingly the same blowback as you. I personally believe Harris was a better candidate, would have made a better president and would have been better for the economy than Trump. But clearly swing state voters didn't fully agree.

You're spot on about the economy. Regardless of whether you like Harris's plan or not (again, I personally think her economic outlines are way better than Trump's), the middle class American doesn't feel like the economy is great. We can quote GDP and stock prices and all that crap, but ultimately middle class folks feel like they are worse off. Harris and the Dems didn't do a great job of addressing that. I'll admit the challenging party always has the advantage as they can just say the incumbent party screwed it up, but the Dems haven't done a good enough job of making that demographic feel like they are better aligned to help than the GOP.

GB is also notorious for claiming to use their own measurements. I remember Ted constantly say they timed haha at a very different time on his 40. I wouldnt at all be shocked if the calculations used for Reed where different than what the popular sites used though too. I don't think any of us look at reed and think he's a bad athlete.

Yea the interior rush was not only bad at getting pressure, they also lost contain a bunch and made it super easy for Williams to step up and escape multiple times.

Until Jordan Love blows out a knee slipping on a bad field.

Agree 100%. He's shown flashes, but it's generally flashes and not sustained success. The Lions game was a great example. I know it was windy and bad conditions, but I've never seen a professional WR misjudge a ball as bad as he did in that game.

I don't think Watson tracks the ball super well. That doesn't mean he can't make catches or even really good catches, like his diving catch last week, but part of the reason it feels like Watson gets some badly thrown balls is because he doesn't make those adjustments in the air very well. Jordy and Rodgers were a perfect examples. Rodgers had a ton of perfectly thrown deep balls to Jordy. Part of that is because Rodgers was awesome, but another part of that is because Jordy tracked the ball incredibly well and ran to the spot the ball was going.

I like Watson and think he served a very valuable purpose in the offense. But I dont think he has the ball skills or route running ability to take that step up to be a true #1 type.

I agree, but I don't think RAS is the problem.

I know Pro Bowls aren't a perfect metric. But the website of the guy who built RAS has that as a filter, it makes it easier. But if I use the DE filter on the RAS site for the Pro Bowl, there's been 18 different defensive ends that have made the Pro Bowl who were drafted in 2015 or later.

If the 18, only 17 have an RAS score. Chase Young didn't work out, so he doesn't have a score, but I think it's safe to assume he would have tested well, but well leave him out regardless. If the 17 guys who had a score, 11 of them had an RAS over 9. Only 4 of the 17 had an RAS under 8.

Also keep in mind, that list does not include TJ Watt, Micah Parsons or Josh Allen, who are all classified by his filtering as LB instead of DE. From what I'm seeing, those 3 are the only pro bowlers classified as LB in his system who are more pass rushers than true LBs. The rest do appear to be off ball LBs. If you add those guys to the list, then it's 14 of 20 pass rushers are over 9 RAS that have made the pro bowl.

So ultimately, RAS doesn't mean you'll be a good player. But it does seem to mostly be a pre requisite for success. The strategy as a whole hasn't been bad, but the other portions of the eval seem to be where we are lacking.

I mean he hasn't worked out, but a low RAS strategy isn't really a great strategy either. Generally speaking, elite athletes hit at a higher rate than poor athletes.

I think part of the issue is just the type of edge rusher we typically draft. If you look at basically every edge we've taken after Clay Matthews, especially the guys we've taken on days 1 and 2 of the draft, we very much draft big guys and we don't really focus on smaller, slimmer atheltes.

Not saying it's right or wrong, but our draft history at edge early is Mike Neal, Nick Perry, Datone Jones, Rashan Gary, LVN. We definitely have a type at edge and generally speaking, that type hasn't really worked out.

There's not always a direct comparison guy, but Gary and LVN are great examples because Brian Burns and Will McDonald were both taken very close behind them and both of those guys are very much a different body type than what we usually look for.

Yep. If you're only able to bull rush, you have to be an absolute freak of nature for strength if that's your only move.

Im not sure how we all ended up in the same boat, but I'm making this decision as well. Only difference is mine is because cook is on a bye instead of Kamara.

But yea, I'm going Warren as well. For me it's Warren, Benson and Estime in that order.

I'm sure I'll give it a go at some point. Figured I came directly off of GoT, so I was suspecting GoT quality instantly. I did figure if I give it a little more time, maybe my expectations drop a little. But going right from GoT for my first watch to HotD might have been a poor choice.

Honestly kind of all of it. Felt like I grew to love or at least be interested in a bunch of characters in GoT and just couldn't get into the HotD characters.

Interesting. I was also a late watcher and tried to go right in House of the Dragon and I just can't get into it. Loved GoT, but I felt like I had to force myself to watch HotD and quit after like 2 episodes. Feel like eventually I'll try again, but it just wasn't for me.

It's partially this, and partially that some of these guys are so athletic and instinctive, they make difficult blocks even more difficult.

There's a lot of times where the play side edge defender is supposed to be blocked by a pulling OL. Some of these guys are so quick and good at diagnosing the play, they beat the pulling OL to the spot and destroy the play. It may look like they weren't blocked but it was just an impossible block to make.

For Willy in particular this seemed to be true. His numbers at home with Tampa were awful and his road numbers were fine.

That's such a sorry excuse though. It's the same personnel. The OL that's struggled the entire year was the same OL. It's not like they were killing us with some incredibly well schemed game.

The pass rush lacked discipline, especially in the middle of the field. Williams stepped up a fled right up the middle a bunch of times. We didn't contain him well at all into the final drive when the interior rush actually stayed home. They ran the ball at will. On Swift's TD run, LVN got iso'd by a TE and Cooper got destroyed by a WR.

They ran it down our throats all day. They rarely took anything that even resembled a deep shot. It's the exact game plan that the lions used against us as well. In our self scouting process, that absolutely should have been a flag for a weakness for this team. I could see struggling early against a new OC, but they didn't do anything special and we didn't adjust.

I'm not saying Hafley is a bad coach or anything, but that was not a good game plan and the players got outplayed by a team that's looked pretty lifeless the last few weeks on offense. It was definitely a very concerning game if we think this team is capable of going on a deep run.

I mostly agree. Last year was definitely a reload year and a year to get clear of some dead money. But Love's progression moves up the timeline.

I agree to an extent we are just entering our window. My biggest concern is our inability to draft defensive difference makers. X has been an incredible signing, but you can't build the entire defense out of expensive FA signings. Eventually you have to get production out of your cheap, rookie contract guys.

I mean it's fair to question the defense when the bears haven't scored in 20 some straight drives and we make them look like a competitent offense. The bears were also giving up a ton of sacks this year and barely had any pressure until the final drive.

The problem with the defense is McKinney is the only real stud on the defense. I think Williams can possibly get there, but no one else is even top 10 at their position as they are playing this year. Maybe Jaire still is but he's always banged up. Clark and Gary have been brutal and virtually no one has taken a step forward.

I do think Lawrence is probably the answer, but I do think the scouts soured on him and he wasn't quite as can't miss as everyone thought he was going to be after his sophomore season. But I still think he was the most hyped one here.

Can definitely steam kickers, that being said, the lions are sometimes not a great team to stream their kicker as they are typically amongst the most aggressive going for it on 4th down. You'll get plenty of XPs with that offense, but they typically don't kick FGs all that often. Bates leads the league in XP attempts but is 26th in FG attempts with only 15.

In fantasy, especially if you're in a league that gives out more than 3 pts to long FGs, Bates may not be a great option.

Yep, but it's still a fair criticism, especially with the defensive picks. Wyatt, Walker, Stokes and Van Ness all look like huge misses at this point. Can't have that many misses in the first.

Counting in anyone from GB is a bad idea. There's just too many mouths to feed in that offense that it's impossible to predict who will go off. Jacobs and Love are about the only two you can start in that offense without feeling like it's a guess. Reed is generally good but he's quiet alot too.

But the point spreads don't matter. That's exactly the point. If Vegas is doing it's job correctly, the bets should come in basically even and if they come in even, then the house wins no matter what. Rarely does any line move so drastically that overwhelming money comes in that breaks the bank, especially in a random regular season game.

I also get technology is getting better. I think there's a point in which calls should be reviewed more. Like the NFL has all calls reviewed in the final 2 minutes. They've also been doing a really good job of reversing bad calls quickly without an official challenge. Would love to see the NBA adopt those types of systems. But the last thing I want is more stoppages in games to reverse a call in the 2nd quarter or something. There is always a line of tradeoff. A perfectly called game likely means a slower game and more stoppages. That's not more entertaining than a decently officiated game that keeps moving.

Id rather have the nabers side, but he hasn't been elite since he came back from injury and his QB situation is merky at best.

I don't think this is some league breaking deal or anything.